北半球海冰强迫作用下大气可预报性研究   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

王嘉  郭裕福 《应用气象学报》2004,15(3):291-300

使用LASG/IAP GOALS耦合模式中的全球大气环流模式分量AGCMR15L9的计算结果，在其他外强迫维持气候值不变的情况下，用方差分析的方法，以外部方差与总方差之比R_e作为衡量标准，考察该模式关于海冰的季节和跨季节潜在可预报性的大小。结果发现，从总体上看，北半球海冰变化所造成的潜在可预报性较小，只有在大气低层的一些气候要素，如温度、湿度的结果中，才存在R_e＞0.5的现象。潜在可预报性结果的局地特征比较明显，高值往往发生在海冰年际变率大的区域里。与中低纬海温在中高纬地区的影响相比，不排除海冰的作用更大的可能性。另外，如果分区域看，北半球某些区域的海冰，在若干挑选出的其区域海冰面积发生大异常年份中的潜在可预报性可能会比不做挑选的总体结果要大。这说明北半球某些区域海冰在面积发生较大异常的时候，可能对同期或（及）后期环流有着比较重要的影响。  相似文献   

用混合和扩散云室对大气冰核浓度的观测分析   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

杨绍忠  王祥国  游来光  皮家雄 《气象》2004,30(12):39-43

继1963年用混合云室对春季冰核浓度观测之后，1994～1996年，在同季节、同地点用混合和静力扩散云室又做了同步观测。对取得的资料进行整理分析，得出了凝华核浓度在不同天气背景下占总冰核浓度的百分比，两种云室测值的对应关系；分析了扩散云室的容积效应及冰核浓度随气压、能见度等气象因子的变化。  相似文献   

INTERANNUAL VARIATIONS OF ATMOSPHERIC HEAT SOURCES AND MOISTURE SINKS OVER THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC AND THEIR RELATIONS TO THE SST ANOMALIES     

蓝光东  温之平  贺海晏 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2004,10(2):178-189

The interannual variations of atmospheric heat sources and moisture sinks over the Equatorial Pacific and their relations with the SST anomalies are studied using ECMWF reanalysis data from 1979 to 1993. It is found by singular value decomposition (SVD)…  相似文献   

The characteristics of Quaternary activity of faults in the sea area near the Yangtze River mouth     

章振铨  火恩杰  刘昌森  王锋 《地震学报(英文版)》2004,17(4):473-479

Introduction As far as the frequency and magnitude are concerned, the earthquakes in the sea area to the east of Shanghai are far more strong than in land area with the largest one in the sea area near the Yangtze River mouth being MS=436, while in land, only MS=434 occurred on Sept. 1, 1624. As a moderately strong earthquake active area, the sea area near the Yangtze River mouth, may cause a potential risk to Shanghai. In 1971 and 1996, earthquakes with MS=5~6 occurred in this area. Geo…  相似文献   

Observational estimation of heat budgets on drifting ice and open water over the Arctic Ocean   总被引：9，自引：0，他引：9  

卞林根  高志球  陆龙骅  张雅宾  C.Roger  X.D.Zhang 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2003,46(6):580-591

It is of major scientific interests to determine the parameters of momentum, heat and vapor exchange in the planetary boundary layer in order to study the effects of ocean-ice-atmosphere interactions and their feedback mechanisms on global climate[1]. Lin…  相似文献   

丹霞地貌概念讨论   总被引：8，自引：0，他引：8  

刘尚仁  刘瑞华 《山地学报》2003,21(6):669-674

关于丹霞地貌概念上的不同意见,主要是：①岩性岩相上是较单一的“陆相碎屑岩”还是涵盖多种岩性岩相的“沉积岩”;②地貌上是“丹崖”,还是“赤壁丹崖”,或是“赤壁丹崖群”。根据目前已知的中外丹霞地貌的基本特征,初步认为,丹霞地貌是由砂岩砾岩为主的沉积岩经侵蚀作用所形成的赤壁丹崖群地貌。近10a来,一些丹霞地貌概念,基本上属于“中国丹霞地貌”的概念,不完全符合世界丹霞地貌的实际情况。  相似文献   

Recent 200 Years Climatic and Environmental Records From the Far East Rongbuk Ice Core, Mt. Qomolangma(Everest)     

Kang Shichang    Qin Dahe    Cameron P. Wake    Paul A. Mayewski   《地学前缘》2000,(Z1)

RECENT 200 YEARS CLIMATIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL RECORDS FROM THE FAR EAST RONGBUK ICE CORE, MT. QOMOLANGMA (EVEREST)  相似文献   

Geochemistry of khondalites from the central portion of North China craton (NCC): implications for the continental cratonization in the Neoarchean   总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7  

LI Jianghai  QIAN Xianglin  LIU Shuwen 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2000,43(3):253-265

Within the high-grade metamorphic basement, the central portion of North China Craton (NCC), a group of Neoarchean khondalites (KS) is identified. They are characterized by large ion lithophile elements (LILE) enrichment, lower abundances of Zr, Hf and Sr. Their rare earth element (REE) distribution has significant LREE enrichment and negative Eu anomalies. The protoliths of KS are interpreted as feldspathic quartzite, shale or pelite and carbonite, deposited in a shallow sea upon cratonic shelf distant from the land. KS's source region might be dominated by granitic rocks, with a minor amount of TTG, underwent comparatively severe chemical weathering. Considering relevent tectonic constraints, we suggest that khondalites from central portion of NCC, an important metamophosed sedimentary cover, are the most significant exogenetic marker of Neoarchean continental cratonization for NCC.  相似文献   

Prediction and prevention of the impacts of sea level rise on the Yangtze River Delta and its adjacent areas   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

SHI Yafeng  ZHU Jiwen  XIE Zhiren  JI Zixiu  JIANG Zixun  YANG Guishan 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2000,43(4):412-422

The Yangtze River Delta region is characterized by high density of population and rapidly developing economy. There are low lying coastal plain and deltaic plain in this region. Thus, the study area could be highly vulnerable to accelerated sea level rise caused by global warming. This paper deals with the scenarios of the relative sea level rise in the early half period of the 21st century in the study area. The authors suggested that relative sea level would rise 25 50 cm by the year 2050 in the study area, of which the magnitude of relative sea level rise in the Yangtze River Delta would double the perspective worldwide average. The impacts of sea level rise include: (i) exacerbation of coastline recession in several sections and vertical erosion of tidal flat, and increase in length of eroding coastline; (ii) decrease in area of tidal flat and coastal wetland due to erosion and inundation; (iii) increase in frequency and intensity of storm surge, which would threaten the coastal protection works; (iv) reduction of drainage capacity due to backwater effect in the Lixiahe lowland and the eastern lowland of Taihu Lake region, and exacerbation of flood and waterlogging disasters; and (v) increase in salt water intrusion into the Yangtze Estuary. Comprehensive evaluation of sea level rise impacts shows that the Yangtze River Delta and eastern lowland of Taihu Lake region, especially Shanghai Municipality, belong in the district in the extreme risk category and the next is the northern bank of Hangzhou Bay, the third is the abandoned Yellow River delta, and the district at low risk includes the central part of north Jiangsu coastal plain and Lixiahe lowland.  相似文献   

1996年我国南方洪涝的海气环境场分析     

赵红岩 《气象》2000,26(2):33-36

选用 1 95 1～ 1 996年中国 1 6 0站逐月降水资料 ,太平洋逐月平均网格点海温资料( 1 0°S～ 5 0°N,1 2 0～ 80°E) ,逐月大尺度环流指数资料 ,分析并探讨造成 1 996年南方洪涝的环流特征、气候背景及海温影响机制。结果表明 :大气环流指数与前期太平洋海温场有明显的遥相关关系。冬、春季海温的冷暖变化程度 ,可预示后期 7月各环流系统的趋势变化 ,环流系统指数自身演变存在较明显的年代际变化规律 ,1 996年南方洪涝就是在这种气候背景下形成的。海温冷暖变化影响大气环流系统的这种演变关系 ,对南方洪涝的短期气候预测具有一定的指示意义。  相似文献